EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Rochdale2 - 2Salford City
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Rochdale and Salford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
31.06% ( -0.23) | 26.21% ( 0.33) | 42.74% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( -1.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.9% ( -1.45) | 52.1% ( 1.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% ( -1.26) | 73.82% ( 1.27) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.97% ( -0.89) | 31.03% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( -1.05) | 67.34% ( 1.05) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.69) | 24.18% ( 0.69) |