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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
41.29% ( 0.17) | 28.01% ( -0.04) | 30.7% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 46.78% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% ( 0.09) | 59.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% ( 0.07) | 79.52% ( -0.07) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( 0.14) | 28.14% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.18% ( 0.17) | 63.82% ( -0.18) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( -0.06) | 34.91% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( -0.06) | 71.65% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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