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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Barrow

Rochdale
2 - 1
Barrow

Kelly (18'), Quigley (75')
Diagouraga (28'), Ball (90'), O'Donnell (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Canavan (89')
Warren (85'), Canavan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Barrow

 Rochdale are yet to win at home this season, and will be increasingly desperate to try to change that as time goes on. Nonetheless, Barrow have started the season strongly, and will be looking to get back on track here, so we are predicting a narrow, Josh Gordon-inspired victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBarrow
39.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.91%33.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.012 -0.01)28.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)32.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.35% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.05%
    Barrow 33.02%
    Draw 27.91%
RochdaleDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Barrow

Rochdale
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Barrow
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
0-0
Barrow

Dorsett (68'), Broadbent (84')

Banks (45+2'), Sea (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3.30pm
Barrow
1-2
Rochdale
Banks (56')
Gordon (53'), Brown (58'), Platt (90+3')
Beesley (28', 72')
Graham (53'), Odoh (85')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Barrow
0-2
Rochdale

Rowe (39')
Henderson (17', 62')
Rathbone (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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