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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Barrow

Rochdale
2 - 1
Barrow

Kelly (18'), Quigley (75')
Diagouraga (28'), Ball (90'), O'Donnell (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Canavan (89')
Warren (85'), Canavan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Barrow

 Rochdale are yet to win at home this season, and will be increasingly desperate to try to change that as time goes on. Nonetheless, Barrow have started the season strongly, and will be looking to get back on track here, so we are predicting a narrow, Josh Gordon-inspired victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBarrow
39.06% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.91%33.02% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)78.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.012 -0.01)28.98% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)64.87% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)32.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.35% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 39.05%
    Barrow 33.02%
    Draw 27.91%
RochdaleDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Barrow

Rochdale
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Barrow
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
0-0
Barrow

Dorsett (68'), Broadbent (84')

Banks (45+2'), Sea (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3.30pm
Barrow
1-2
Rochdale
Banks (56')
Gordon (53'), Brown (58'), Platt (90+3')
Beesley (28', 72')
Graham (53'), Odoh (85')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Barrow
0-2
Rochdale

Rowe (39')
Henderson (17', 62')
Rathbone (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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