MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 22:54:55| >> :600:777513:777513:
Rotherham logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
New York Stadium

Rotherham
3 - 1
Newcastle U21s

Hugill (20', 45+2'), Esapa Osong (82')
Holmes (31'), H (41'), Bramall (56'), Hatton (63'), McWilliams (72'), Hugill (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Emerson (59')
Thompson (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Rotherham United and Newcastle United Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 2-3 Newcastle U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Newcastle United Under-21s

 Rotherham are likely to make wholesale changes for the EFL Trophy fixture, but they should still have enough experience and quality to edge out Newcastle U21s to record a third consecutive victory in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
58.68% (0.114 0.11) 20.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 20.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.54% (-0.206 -0.21)36.46% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.4% (-0.225 -0.23)58.6% (0.226 0.23)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)12.23% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.08% (-0.07 -0.07)37.92% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.232 -0.23)30.95% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.271 -0.27)67.25% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 58.68%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 20.62%
    Draw 20.7%
Rotherham UnitedDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.87%
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.44% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 20.62%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Newcastle U21s

Rotherham United
75.9%
Draw
13.8%
Newcastle United Under-21s
10.3%
29
rhs 2.0
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