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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Burton Albion

Rotherham
2 - 2
Burton Albion

Clarke-Harris (39'), C (57')
Odofin (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsi (25'), Cooper Love (71')
Vancooten (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, September 7 at 3.10pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-0 Burton Albion

After losing to Wycombe and Fleetwood last month, Rotherham showed enough improvement over their last two matches to suggest that they could edge this one, against an opponent who have not found the back of the net in almost 200 minutes of playing time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurton Albion
47.39% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 26.74% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 25.86% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)56.74% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)77.69% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)23.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)37.53% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)74.31% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 47.39%
    Burton Albion 25.86%
    Draw 26.74%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 47.39%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.99% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.86%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Burton Albion

Rotherham United
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
Burton Albion
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Burton Albion
2-0
Rotherham
Borthwick-Jackson (3'), Brayford (69')
Kokolo (45'), Hamer (73')

Wood (52'), Rathbone (68')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
3-1
Burton Albion
Ladapo (24', 48'), Barlaser (84')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Rotherham
3-2
Burton Albion
Smith (9', 46'), Ladapo (71')
Ladapo (93')
Murphy (7'), Sarkic (47')
Sarkic (32')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Dec 29, 2016 7.45pm
Rotherham
1-2
Burton Albion
Adeyemi (45')
Frecklington (33'), Ward (88'), Fisher (95')
O'Grady (36'), Irvine (41')
McFadzean (13'), Palmer (75'), McCrory (77'), Barker (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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