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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Birmingham logo

Rotherham
0 - 2
Birmingham


Tiehi (26'), Hungbo (77'), Raggett (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Iwata (14'), Stansfield (22')
Iwata (13'), Davies (14'), Cochrane (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Birmingham City

Having already defeated Huddersfield this season, Rotherham cannot be written off here. However, Blues are now building up a head of steam and we are backing them to battle their way to another success, even if it is through the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBirmingham City
30.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.84% (0.0040000000000013 0) 43.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (-0.012 -0.01)50.93% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)72.8% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.03% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)56.91% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 30.2%
    Birmingham City 43.96%
    Draw 25.83%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Birmingham

Rotherham United
16.7%
Draw
2.8%
Birmingham City
80.6%
36
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Rotherham
0-0
Birmingham
Hugill (51'), Humphreys (52'), Eaves (84'), Peltier (87')
Anderson (63'), Stansfield (76')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Birmingham
0-0
Rotherham
James (62')
Lindsay (61'), Peltier (71'), Bramall (86')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Birmingham
2-0
Rotherham
Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 42
Rotherham
0-1
Birmingham

Ihiekwe (57'), Wood (67')
Dean (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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