MX23RW : Friday, November 22 20:25:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Briskeby Arena

HamKam
3 - 2
Stabaek

Alexander Kirkevold (32'), Lonstad Onsrud (49'), Martin Gammelby (90+4')
Lonstad Onsrud (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bakenga (51'), Jendal (77' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between HamKam and Stabaek Football, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 2-3 HamKam
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Viking FK
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: HamKam 1-0 Stabaek Football

HamKam have come on leaps and bounds in recent weeks, winning their last two games on the spin, and they should be able to defeat a newly-promoted side on home soil. Games involving Stabaek are very rarely high-scoring affairs, with just two goals behind scored in their last three games, so we expect it will be a narrow victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stabaek Football win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stabaek Football win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest HamKam win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.

Result
HamKamDrawStabaek Football
36.6% (0.128 0.13) 26.8% (0.0010000000000012 0) 36.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.56% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.93% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)75.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (0.070999999999998 0.07)28.19% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)63.89% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Stabaek Football Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)28.19% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (-0.102 -0.1)63.88% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    HamKam 36.59%
    Stabaek Football 36.6%
    Draw 26.8%
HamKamDrawStabaek Football
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.6%

How you voted: HamKam vs Stabaek

HamKam
54.8%
Draw
22.6%
Stabaek Football
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SK BrannBrann28177453302358
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt28168464293556
3Viking FKViking FK28158555371853
4MoldeMolde28147762342849
5RosenborgRosenborg2815494738949
6Fredrikstad2812973735245
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset2898113138-735
8KFUM OsloKFUM28810103234-234
9HamKam2889113436-233
10Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg2896134053-1333
11SandefjordSandefjord2887133845-731
12KristiansundKristiansund28710113040-1031
13Tromso ILTromso2886143142-1130
14FK HaugesundHaugesund2886142640-1430
15Lillestrom2873183155-2424
16Odd2858152550-2523


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!