Sandejford will likely be aiming to keep things tight once again after their goalless draw last time out, with avoiding defeat likely to be their main target from this match. However, while Lillestrom face uncertainty off the pitch, they should be full of confidence after coming from behind to beat Rosenborg last time out, and we can envisage them claiming another tight victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Sandefjord
70.38% ( 0.04)	16.9% ( -0.03)	12.71% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.32% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.39% (

0.14)

33.6% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.58% (

0.16)

55.41% (

-0.16)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.48% (

0.04)

8.52% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.5% (

0.1)

29.49% (

-0.11)

Sandefjord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.56% (

0.08)

38.43% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81% (

0.07)

75.18% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 70.38%

Sandefjord 12.71%

Draw 16.9%

Lillestrom	Draw	Sandefjord
2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 70.38%	1-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.9%	1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 12.71%