Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 72.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Start had a probability of 10.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Start win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.