Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Start had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Start win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.