Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sandefjord would win this match.