Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 79.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 8.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.