Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
