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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FC Volendam

Ajax
1 - 1
Volendam

Kudus (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mirani (59')
Stankovic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 FC Volendam

Ajax will view Thursday's fixture as a great opportunity to return to winning ways and they should be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points. Volendam caused problems for Ajax in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but they ultimately ended up on the losing side and we expect the same outcome at the Amsterdam ArenA. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 4-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
84.59% (0.84099999999999 0.84) 9.44% (-0.4731 -0.47) 5.97% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 59.91% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.94% (1.067 1.07)17.06% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.22% (1.593 1.59)33.78% (-1.591 -1.59)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.18% (0.271 0.27)2.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.12% (0.947 0.95)12.88% (-0.946 -0.95)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (0.106 0.11)38.36% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (0.097999999999999 0.1)75.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.59%
    FC Volendam 5.97%
    Draw 9.44%
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
3-0 @ 8.19% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 7.31% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 7% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.264 -0.26)
5-0 @ 5.22% (0.181 0.18)
5-1 @ 5% (0.188 0.19)
1-0 @ 3.86% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.36% (0.051 0.05)
6-0 @ 3.1% (0.185 0.19)
6-1 @ 2.97% (0.184 0.18)
5-2 @ 2.4% (0.097 0.1)
7-0 @ 1.58% (0.132 0.13)
7-1 @ 1.52% (0.13 0.13)
6-2 @ 1.42% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 5.51%
Total : 84.59%
1-1 @ 3.7% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.44%
1-2 @ 1.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 1.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 5.97%

How you voted: Ajax vs Volendam

Ajax
80.6%
Draw
8.6%
FC Volendam
10.8%
93
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2022 11am
Ajax
5-4
Volendam
Hato (56'), Conceicao (58', 69'), Brobbey (65', 89')
Oristanio (7'), Antonioli (46', 74'), Plat (48')
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Volendam
2-4
Ajax
Zeefuik (74'), Eiting (86')
Tadic (17' pen.), Bassey (39'), Brobbey (64'), Klaassen (90+5')
Conceicao (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II206592428-423
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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