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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 4-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
84.59% (![]() | 9.44% (![]() | 5.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.94% (![]() | 17.06% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
66.22% (![]() | 33.78% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.18% (![]() | 2.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.12% (![]() | 12.88% (![]() |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.64% (![]() | 38.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.89% (![]() | 75.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | FC Volendam |
3-0 @ 8.19% (![]() 3-1 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 7% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 5% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 5.51% Total : 84.59% | 1-1 @ 3.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 9.44% | 1-2 @ 1.77% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 5.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |