Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
1 - 1
Volendam

Kudus (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mirani (59')
Stankovic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax will view Thursday's fixture as a great opportunity to return to winning ways and they should be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points. Volendam caused problems for Ajax in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but they ultimately ended up on the losing side and we expect the same outcome at the Amsterdam ArenA. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 4-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	FC Volendam
84.59% ( 0.84)	9.44% ( -0.47)	5.97% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 59.91% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

82.94% (

1.07)

17.06% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

66.22% (

1.59)

33.78% (

-1.59)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.18% (

0.27)

2.82% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.12% (

0.95)

12.88% (

-0.95)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.64% (

0.11)

38.36% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.89% (

0.1)

75.11% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Ajax 84.59%

FC Volendam 5.97%

Draw 9.44%

Ajax	Draw	FC Volendam
3-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 7% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.26) 5-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.18) 5-1 @ 5% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.19) 6-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.18) 5-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.1) 7-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.13) 7-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.13) 6-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 5.51% Total : 84.59%	1-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.3% Total : 9.44%	1-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 5.97%