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Ajax
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Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
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Heerenveen
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Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
FC Volendam

Ajax
1 - 1
Volendam

Kudus (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mirani (59')
Stankovic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 2-0 Volendam
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 FC Volendam

Ajax will view Thursday's fixture as a great opportunity to return to winning ways and they should be regarded as firm favourites to claim maximum points. Volendam caused problems for Ajax in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but they ultimately ended up on the losing side and we expect the same outcome at the Amsterdam ArenA. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.59%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 4-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
84.59% (0.84099999999999 0.84) 9.44% (-0.4731 -0.47) 5.97% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 59.91% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.94% (1.067 1.07)17.06% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.22% (1.593 1.59)33.78% (-1.591 -1.59)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.18% (0.271 0.27)2.82% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.12% (0.947 0.95)12.88% (-0.946 -0.95)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64% (0.106 0.11)38.36% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (0.097999999999999 0.1)75.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.59%
    FC Volendam 5.97%
    Draw 9.44%
AjaxDrawFC Volendam
3-0 @ 8.19% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.85% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 7.31% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 7% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.264 -0.26)
5-0 @ 5.22% (0.181 0.18)
5-1 @ 5% (0.188 0.19)
1-0 @ 3.86% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 3.36% (0.051 0.05)
6-0 @ 3.1% (0.185 0.19)
6-1 @ 2.97% (0.184 0.18)
5-2 @ 2.4% (0.097 0.1)
7-0 @ 1.58% (0.132 0.13)
7-1 @ 1.52% (0.13 0.13)
6-2 @ 1.42% (0.092 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 5.51%
Total : 84.59%
1-1 @ 3.7% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 9.44%
1-2 @ 1.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 1.04% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 5.97%

How you voted: Ajax vs Volendam

Ajax
80.6%
Draw
8.6%
FC Volendam
10.8%
93
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2022 11am
Ajax
5-4
Volendam
Hato (56'), Conceicao (58', 69'), Brobbey (65', 89')
Oristanio (7'), Antonioli (46', 74'), Plat (48')
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Volendam
2-4
Ajax
Zeefuik (74'), Eiting (86')
Tadic (17' pen.), Bassey (39'), Brobbey (64'), Klaassen (90+5')
Conceicao (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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