Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
Nijmegen1 - 1Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nijmegen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, November 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, November 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Ajax 5-4 Volendam
Wednesday, December 7 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, December 7 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
We said: NEC 1-3 Ajax
Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a victory for them. We are tipping the visitors to cruise to a relatively comfortable triumph at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Ajax |
13.25% ( 1.63) | 15.64% ( 1.27) | 71.1% ( -2.9) |
| Both teams to score 63.59% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.44% ( -2.24) | 25.56% ( 2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.35% ( -2.95) | 45.65% ( 2.96) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( 0.61) | 32.04% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.49% ( 0.68) | 68.5% ( -0.68) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.57% ( -0.99) | 6.42% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.95% ( -2.81) | 24.05% ( 2.82) |
| Score Analysis |
NEC 13.25%
Ajax 71.1%
Draw 15.64%
| NEC | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.25% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.31)0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.64% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.21)0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.49)1-4 @ 5.54% ( -0.41)0-4 @ 4.87% ( -0.45)2-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.18)1-5 @ 3.04% ( -0.43)0-5 @ 2.68% ( -0.43)2-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.21)1-6 @ 1.39% ( -0.29)0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.28)3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.27% Total : 71.1% |
How you voted: Nijmegen vs Ajax
NEC
4.8%Draw
11.9%Ajax
83.3%42
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Nov 20, 2016 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
von Haacke (37'), Golla (39'), Dyrestam (52')
Mar 13, 2016 3.45pm
