MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:16:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
Ajax

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Ajax

Dimata (52')
Marquez (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klaassen (38')
Sanchez (50'), Rensch (58'), Conceicao (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 6-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, November 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 5-4 Volendam
Wednesday, December 7 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: NEC 1-3 Ajax

Ajax have enjoyed the better of this fixture to a large degree, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome rather than a victory for them. We are tipping the visitors to cruise to a relatively comfortable triumph at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawAjax
13.25% (1.629 1.63) 15.64% (1.273 1.27) 71.1% (-2.897 -2.9)
Both teams to score 63.59% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.44% (-2.237 -2.24)25.56% (2.242 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.35% (-2.954 -2.95)45.65% (2.959 2.96)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.60599999999999 0.61)32.04% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.682 0.68)68.5% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.57% (-0.992 -0.99)6.42% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.95% (-2.81 -2.81)24.05% (2.816 2.82)
Score Analysis
    NEC 13.25%
    Ajax 71.1%
    Draw 15.64%
NECDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.66% (0.424 0.42)
1-0 @ 2.34% (0.359 0.36)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.39% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 1.33% (0.223 0.22)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.25%
1-1 @ 6.43% (0.651 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 2.06% (0.286 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 15.64%
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.408 0.41)
1-3 @ 8.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 7.1% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.488 0.49)
1-4 @ 5.54% (-0.413 -0.41)
0-4 @ 4.87% (-0.449 -0.45)
2-3 @ 4.6% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.16% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-5 @ 3.04% (-0.428 -0.43)
0-5 @ 2.68% (-0.426 -0.43)
2-5 @ 1.73% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-6 @ 1.39% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-6 @ 1.22% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-4 @ 1.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 71.1%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Ajax

NEC
4.8%
Draw
11.9%
Ajax
83.3%
42
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Breinburg (5' og.), Neres (8'), Traore (32', 60'), Ziyech (78')
van de Beek (72')
Nov 20, 2016 1.30pm
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Dolberg (19', 24', 37'), Traore (55'), Schone (57')

von Haacke (37'), Golla (39'), Dyrestam (52')
Mar 13, 2016 3.45pm
Ajax
2-2
Nijmegen
Milik (16'), Van Eijden (51' og.)
Foor (19'), Grot (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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