Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 22, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

De Kuip

Feyenoord
1 - 1
Ajax

Paixao (34')
Jahanbakhsh (24'), Kokcu (55'), Holmgren Pedersen (60'), Wieffer (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Klaassen (71')
Taylor (8'), Maduro (24'), Alvarez (39'), Klaassen (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Groningen 0-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, January 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

With the dynamic currently shifting in Dutch football, Feyenoord are the justified favourites to prevail from this contest. However, they will also recognise that avoiding defeat is as important as a win, something which may lead to a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.53%) and 0-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	Ajax
33.82% ( 0.3)	21.45% ( -0.08)	44.73% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 70.59% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.27% (

0.54)

28.72% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.36% (

0.66)

49.64% (

-0.66)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.88% (

0.4)

18.12% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.92% (

0.67)

49.07% (

-0.67)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

0.14)

13.79% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.89% (

0.27)

41.11% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 33.82%

Ajax 44.73%

Draw 21.45%

Feyenoord	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.78% Total : 33.82%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.45%	1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 44.73%