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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
19.42% ( 1.02) | 20.34% ( 0.5) | 60.24% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.47% ( -0.75) | 36.53% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% ( -0.82) | 58.68% ( 0.82) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 0.59) | 32.14% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( 0.66) | 68.62% ( -0.67) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.18% ( -0.64) | 11.81% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.95% ( -1.38) | 37.05% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.42% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 7% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.74% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.13) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |