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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FC Volendam

AZ
2 - 1
Volendam

Odgaard (20'), Reijnders (40')
Clasie (84'), Hatzidiakos (90+3')
de Wit (14')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Veerman (48')
Mbuyamba (26'), Oristanio (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vaduz 1-2 AZ
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Volendam 1-3 Heerenveen
Sunday, October 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 FC Volendam

Volendam have conceded the most goals in the Eredivisie heading into matchday 12, and we expect their deficiencies at the back to be laid bare once again with AZ Alkmaar strolling to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Volendam
68.26% (0.185 0.19) 17.59% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 14.15% (-0.135 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.02% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)33.43% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (-0.055 -0.05)55.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)8.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.46% (0.068999999999988 0.07)30.53% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.21 -0.21)36.27% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (-0.215 -0.22)73.05% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 68.26%
    FC Volendam 14.15%
    Draw 17.59%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.45% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.66% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.59% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.22% (0.02 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 68.26%
1-1 @ 7.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.59%
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.15%

How you voted: AZ vs Volendam

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
FC Volendam
AZ Alkmaar
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
FC Volendam
0.0%
39
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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