MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:32:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
PSV

Ajax
1 - 2
PSV

Lucca (83')
Alvarez (34'), Berghuis (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
de Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Obispo (34'), de Jong (63'), Til (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 1-3 Ajax
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 PSV
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Ajax 3-2 PSV Eindhoven

Sunday sees a clash between the Eredivisie's title contenders and most prolific attacks in what promises to be an exciting watch for neutrals and supporters alike. Only one point separates the sides heading into the weekend, but considering that PSV had lost three of their six away league matches so far this season, it is hard to back against Ajax for all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.56%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.65%) and 3-2 (5.97%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (4.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
59.56% (-0.279 -0.28) 17.23% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 23.2% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 78.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
84.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)15.98% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
67.85% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)32.14% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.11% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)5.88% (0.056 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.45% (-0.155 -0.16)22.55% (0.157 0.16)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.107 0.11)16.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.191 0.19)46.48% (-0.189 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 59.56%
    PSV Eindhoven 23.2%
    Draw 17.23%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 4.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-3 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 2.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-3 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-2 @ 1.13% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 5.01%
Total : 59.56%
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.022 0.02)
1-1 @ 4.97% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 3.57% (0.013 0.01)
4-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.23%
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.018 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.57% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 23.2%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
68.2%
Draw
15.2%
PSV Eindhoven
16.7%
66
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
Feb 28, 2021 1.30pm
PSV
1-1
Ajax
Zahavi (39')
Boscagli (54'), Zahavi (87'), Malen (89'), Dumfries (90+1'), Teze (90+4')
Tadic (90+2' pen.)
Alvarez (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV77002542121
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC Twente7421135814
4FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
5Ajax5311103710
6Feyenoord6240126610
7Sparta RotterdamSparta724187110
8Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
9Groningen723210829
10Heracles723269-39
11Willem II722310918
12NECNijmegen721478-17
13PEC Zwolle7214710-37
14Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
15Heerenveen7214916-77
16NAC BredaNAC Breda7205514-96
17Almere CityAlmere City7025218-162
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk7007319-160


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