The Match
Match Report
Ajax secure the 2021-22 Eredivisie title with a match to spare courtesy of their 5-0 success over Heerenveen.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 22 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.48%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 3.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
89.48% ( -2.59) | 7.13% ( 1.61) | 3.39% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( 1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
