Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 30, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
3 - 0
PEC Zwolle

Tadic (30'), Klaassen (51', 80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

PEC Zwolle

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Fortuna Sittard	33	-32	32
17	Willem II	33	-28	30
18	PEC Zwolle	33	-25	27

Ajax boast a vastly superior squad, and it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for them. We expect a largely one-sided affair with the defending champions scoring plenty of goals en route to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.95%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 3.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.24%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
88.95%	7.41%	3.64%

Both teams to score 50.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.8%

18.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

64.47%

35.53%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.52%

2.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.33%

11.67%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.96%

48.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.74%

83.26%

Score Analysis

Ajax 88.95%

PEC Zwolle 3.64%

Draw 7.41%

Ajax	Draw	PEC Zwolle
3-0 @ 10.07% 4-0 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 7.39% 5-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 6.83% 2-1 @ 5.99% 5-1 @ 5.06% 1-0 @ 4.41% 6-0 @ 4.26% 6-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.51% 7-0 @ 2.25% 5-2 @ 1.85% 7-1 @ 1.65% 6-2 @ 1.14% 8-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.29% Total : 88.95%	1-1 @ 3.24% 2-2 @ 2.2% 0-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.79% Total : 7.41%	1-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.45% Total : 3.64%