Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Apr 23, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Goffertstadion

NEC
0 - 1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

With only the league title left to play for, Ajax can turn fully their attention to securing a 36th domestic crown. We are tipping them to cruise to a comfortable victory in this one, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 5.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.87%) and 0-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a NEC win it was 1-0 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	Ajax
5.53%	11.51%	82.96%

Both teams to score 44.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.02%

31.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.45%

53.55%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.91%

53.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.29%

86.7%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.34%

5.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.1%

21.89%

Score Analysis

NEC 5.53%

Ajax 82.96%

Draw 11.51%

NEC	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 1.9% 2-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 1.9% Total : 5.53%	1-1 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 3% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.51%	0-2 @ 12.39% 0-3 @ 11.87% 0-1 @ 8.62% 0-4 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 7.52% 1-4 @ 5.4% 0-5 @ 4.9% 1-5 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-6 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-6 @ 1.49% 2-5 @ 0.98% 0-7 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.9% Total : 82.96%