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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
79.33% | 12.41% | 8.26% |
Both teams to score 57.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.86% | 24.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.2% | 43.8% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.24% | 4.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.75% | 19.25% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.67% | 39.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.97% | 76.03% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
3-0 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.1% 4-0 @ 6.72% 4-1 @ 6.27% 1-0 @ 5.7% 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.84% 5-1 @ 3.82% 4-2 @ 2.93% 6-0 @ 2.08% 6-1 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 0.91% 6-2 @ 0.91% 7-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.61% Total : 79.33% | 1-1 @ 5.32% 2-2 @ 3.78% 0-0 @ 1.87% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.41% | 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.86% Total : 8.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 64 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
4 | Feyenoord | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 47 |
5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 46 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 32 |
9 | Groningen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 31 |
10 | Heerenveen | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 31 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
12 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
13 | Heracles | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 28 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 26 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
16 | Willem II | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |