Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax3 - 1Willem II
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 79.33% | 12.41% | 8.26% |
| Both teams to score 57.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.86% | 24.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.24% | 4.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.75% | 19.25% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.67% | 39.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.97% | 76.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 79.33%
Willem II 8.26%
Draw 12.41%
| Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 3-0 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.1% 4-0 @ 6.72% 4-1 @ 6.27% 1-0 @ 5.7% 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.84% 5-1 @ 3.82% 4-2 @ 2.93% 6-0 @ 2.08% 6-1 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 0.91% 6-2 @ 0.91% 7-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.61% Total : 79.33% | 1-1 @ 5.32% 2-2 @ 3.78% 0-0 @ 1.87% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.41% | 1-2 @ 2.48% 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.86% Total : 8.26% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Willem II
Ajax
81.7%Draw
7.3%Willem II
11.0%82
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 32
Willem II
P-P
Ajax
Dec 6, 2019 7.15pm
May 5, 2019 5pm
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Willem II
1-4
Ajax
