Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-3 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
| 9.95% | 14.1% | 75.95% |
| Both teams to score 57.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.77% | 27.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.21% | 47.79% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% | 38.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.19% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.06% | 5.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 77.28% | 22.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 9.95%
Ajax 75.95%
Draw 14.1%
| Willem II | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 2.95% 1-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.33% 2-0 @ 1.04% 3-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.51% Total : 9.95% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.16% 0-0 @ 2.28% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.1% | 0-2 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-3 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-4 @ 6.05% 1-4 @ 5.79% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-5 @ 3.42% 1-5 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.77% 0-6 @ 1.61% 2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.54% Other @ 5.01% Total : 75.95% |
How you voted: Willem II vs Ajax
Willem II
4.0%Draw
4.0%Ajax
92.0%25
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 32
Willem II
P-P
Ajax
Dec 6, 2019 7.15pm
May 5, 2019 5pm
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Willem II
1-4
Ajax
Nov 3, 2018 7.45pm
