Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
