Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 39.29% | 25.91% | 34.8% |
| Both teams to score 54.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% | 49.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% | 71.91% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% | 24.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.37% | 59.63% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.96% | 63.04% |
| Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar 39.29%
PSV Eindhoven 34.8%
Draw 25.91%
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.8% |
How you voted: AZ vs PSV
AZ Alkmaar
13.6%Draw
20.3%PSV Eindhoven
66.1%59
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
Jan 13, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
PSV
1-3
AZ
Apr 21, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
AZ
P-P
PSV
May 12, 2019 1.30pm
