Eredivisie | Gameweek 16

Jan 13, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
1 - 3
AZ

Max (59')
Rosario (26'), Dumfries (56'), Sangare (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Koopmeiners (31' pen., 39'), Stengs (90')
Hatzidiakos (58'), Martins Indi (68'), Wijndal (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.97%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
52.97%	22.28%	24.75%

Both teams to score 60.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.03%

38.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.71%

61.28%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.2%

14.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.92%

43.08%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15%

28.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29%

64.71%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 52.97%

AZ Alkmaar 24.75%

Draw 22.28%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.69% 1-0 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.97%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 6.3% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.75%