Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 26.93% | 23.59% | 49.48% |
| Both teams to score 58.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% | 43.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% | 65.49% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% | 29.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.64% | 65.36% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% | 17.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.92% | 48.08% |
| Score Analysis |
Heerenveen 26.93%
AZ Alkmaar 49.48%
Draw 23.58%
| Heerenveen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% 1-0 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 7.81% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.41% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.81% Total : 49.48% |
How you voted: Heerenveen vs AZ
Heerenveen
27.8%Draw
16.7%AZ Alkmaar
55.6%18
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 22
AZ
3-1
Heerenveen
Nov 8, 2020 3.45pm
Jan 25, 2020 5.30pm
Oct 19, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
AZ
2-4
Heerenveen
