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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
55.44% ( 0.57) | 21.94% ( 0.16) | 22.62% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 59.14% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.28% ( -1.58) | 39.72% ( 1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.92% ( -1.67) | 62.08% ( 1.67) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.74% ( -0.36) | 14.26% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.96% ( -0.7) | 42.04% ( 0.7) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( -1.49) | 31.02% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.67% ( -1.78) | 67.33% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |