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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
50.62% ( 0.07) | 24.21% ( -0.01) | 25.18% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( -0) | 47.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( -0) | 69.48% ( 0.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.31% ( 0.03) | 18.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.96% ( 0.04) | 50.04% ( -0.04) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% ( -0.05) | 32.96% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.47% ( -0.05) | 69.54% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 50.62% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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