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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
29.38% ( 0.32) | 23.64% ( 0.26) | 46.98% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% ( -1.05) | 41.64% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% ( -1.07) | 64.04% ( 1.06) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.09% ( -0.32) | 26.9% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.77% ( -0.42) | 62.22% ( 0.41) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.04% ( -0.64) | 17.95% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( -1.1) | 48.78% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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