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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
29.38% ( 0.32) | 23.64% ( 0.26) | 46.98% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% ( -1.05) | 41.64% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% ( -1.07) | 64.04% ( 1.06) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.09% ( -0.32) | 26.9% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.77% ( -0.42) | 62.22% ( 0.41) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.04% ( -0.64) | 17.95% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% ( -1.1) | 48.78% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.7% Total : 46.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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