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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
68.1% (![]() | 18.42% (![]() | 13.48% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.91% (![]() | 39.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.58% (![]() | 61.42% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.5% (![]() | 10.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.83% (![]() | 34.17% (![]() |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.1% (![]() | 40.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.53% (![]() | 77.47% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 10.9% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.28% 5-0 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 4.44% Total : 68.1% | 1-1 @ 8.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.42% | 1-2 @ 3.87% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
10 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 28 |
12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |