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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
34.29% ( -0.04) | 24.08% ( -0.01) | 41.63% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.69% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.31% ( 0.06) | 41.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% ( 0.05) | 64.08% ( -0.05) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( 0.01) | 23.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0.01) | 58.14% ( -0) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.77% ( 0.05) | 20.23% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.45% ( 0.07) | 52.55% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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