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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
44.22% ( -0.88) | 24.4% ( 0.05) | 31.38% ( 0.83) |
Both teams to score 58.46% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.86% ( 0.13) | 44.14% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.48% ( 0.13) | 66.52% ( -0.12) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.9% ( -0.33) | 20.1% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.66% ( -0.53) | 52.34% ( 0.53) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( 0.6) | 26.84% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% ( 0.78) | 62.14% ( -0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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