MX23RW : Monday, May 12 10:11:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax

Utrecht
0 - 2
Ajax


Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 0-2 Ajax

While Utrecht will be looking to get their league campaign up and running, next up is the stern test of taking on the reigning champions whose last league defeat came back in February. We predict a one-sided affair at the Stadion Galgenwaard with Ajax coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
17.36% (0.683 0.68) 19.62% (0.69 0.69) 63.02% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-1.073 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39% (-2.06 -2.06)36.61% (2.065 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-2.28 -2.28)58.76% (2.286 2.29)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.505 -0.5)34.35% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.546 -0.55)71.06% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)11.1% (0.942 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.51% (-2.106 -2.11)35.49% (2.11 2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 17.36%
    Ajax 63.02%
    Draw 19.62%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.78% (0.171 0.17)
1-0 @ 4.07% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.438 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.105 0.1)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.52 0.52)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.97% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-4 @ 2.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht
Draw
Ajax
FC Utrecht
9.6%
Draw
13.5%
Ajax
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!