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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax

Utrecht
0 - 2
Ajax


Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 0-2 Ajax

While Utrecht will be looking to get their league campaign up and running, next up is the stern test of taking on the reigning champions whose last league defeat came back in February. We predict a one-sided affair at the Stadion Galgenwaard with Ajax coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
17.36% (0.683 0.68) 19.62% (0.69 0.69) 63.02% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-1.073 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39% (-2.06 -2.06)36.61% (2.065 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-2.28 -2.28)58.76% (2.286 2.29)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.505 -0.5)34.35% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.546 -0.55)71.06% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)11.1% (0.942 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.51% (-2.106 -2.11)35.49% (2.11 2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 17.36%
    Ajax 63.02%
    Draw 19.62%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.78% (0.171 0.17)
1-0 @ 4.07% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.438 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.105 0.1)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.52 0.52)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.97% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-4 @ 2.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht
9.6%
Draw
13.5%
Ajax
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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