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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
14 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
15 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 4 | 8 | 10 |
2 | Ajax | 3 | 7 | 9 |
3 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
17.36% ( 0.68) | 19.62% ( 0.69) | 63.02% ( -1.37) |
Both teams to score 58.36% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.39% ( -2.06) | 36.61% ( 2.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.24% ( -2.28) | 58.76% ( 2.29) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% ( -0.5) | 34.35% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( -0.55) | 71.06% ( 0.55) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.9% ( -0.94) | 11.1% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.51% ( -2.11) | 35.49% ( 2.11) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 17.36% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.38) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 3.97% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.16) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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