Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.