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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
56% | 23.09% | 20.91% |
Both teams to score 52.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% | 46.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.8% | 69.2% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% | 16.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.62% | 46.38% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.32% | 36.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.53% | 73.46% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.82% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.95% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 64 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
4 | Feyenoord | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 47 |
5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 46 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 32 |
9 | Groningen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 31 |
10 | Heerenveen | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 31 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
12 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
13 | Heracles | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 28 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 26 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
16 | Willem II | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 24 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |