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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
56% | 23.09% | 20.91% |
Both teams to score 52.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.04% | 46.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.8% | 69.2% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% | 16.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.62% | 46.38% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.32% | 36.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.53% | 73.46% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.82% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-1 @ 0.95% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 55.99% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.06% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |