Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.