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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
50.08% ( -0.74) | 24.6% ( 0.25) | 25.32% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 53.4% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.2% ( -0.62) | 48.79% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( -0.57) | 70.89% ( 0.56) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( -0.54) | 19.5% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.61% ( -0.89) | 51.38% ( 0.88) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% ( 0.07) | 33.66% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% ( 0.08) | 70.31% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
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