Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.