Eredivisie | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
4 - 0
Heracles

Thor Willumsson (13'), Edvardsen (16'), Sow (62'), Kuipers (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ouahim (7'), Hansson (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, September 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Heracles

Go Ahead Eagles have won their opening three home games, but Heracles proved they are up to the task of maintaining their Eredivisie status with their 1-1 draw at AZ Alkmaar in their last away fixture. As such, we think the visitors will be able to take a point from this weekend's match, extending their unbeaten run to four games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Heracles
50.11% ( 0.47)	22.49% ( -0.08)	27.4% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 62.54% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.4% (

0.08)

37.6% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.17% (

0.09)

59.83% (

-0.09)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.72% (

0.19)

15.27% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.02% (

0.36)

43.98% (

-0.36)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

-0.22)

26.18% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73% (

-0.3)

61.27% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 50.11%

Heracles 27.4%

Draw 22.49%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.99% Total : 50.11%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.4%