Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for RKC Waalwijk in this match.
