Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
