Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
