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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.3%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
79.3% | 12.43% | 8.27% |
Both teams to score 57.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.8% | 24.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.12% | 43.88% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.23% | 4.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.7% | 19.3% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% | 39.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% | 76.06% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
3-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.11% 4-0 @ 6.71% 4-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 5.72% 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.84% 5-1 @ 3.81% 4-2 @ 2.92% 6-0 @ 2.07% 6-1 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 0.91% 7-0 @ 0.9% 6-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.59% Total : 79.3% | 1-1 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.78% 0-0 @ 1.88% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.43% | 1-2 @ 2.49% 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.86% Total : 8.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |