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Euro Under-17s Championship | Semi-Finals
May 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
 

Poland U17s
3 - 5
Germany U17s

Mikolajewski (7'), Borys (31'), Wolski (68')
Wolski (34'), Mikolajewski (58')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moerstedt (22'), Brunner (56'), Herrmann (65'), Assan Ouedraogo (79'), Robert (82')
Assan Ouedraogo (46'), Darvich (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Under-17 Championship clash between Poland Under-17s and Germany Under-17s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Poland U17s 3-2 Serbia U17s
Saturday, May 27 at 2pm in Euro Under-17 Championship
Last Game: Germany U17s 1-1 Switzerland U17s (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, May 27 at 2pm in Euro Under-17 Championship

We said: Poland Under-17s 2-3 Germany Under-17s

A free-scoring Poland attack coming up against a resolute Germany defence is an intriguing battle to say the least, and with Wuck's side working around the absence of Dal, the White Eagles ought to feel confident of notching up at least a couple of goals. However, the three-time champions have proven adept in the final third themselves, and with Poland's gung-ho approach leaving them vulnerable at the back, we expect Germany to edge a tantalising contest and move one step closer to glory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-17s win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Germany Under-17s had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-17s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Germany Under-17s win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Germany Under-17s would win this match.

Result
Poland Under-17sDrawGermany Under-17s
55.06%20.25%24.69%
Both teams to score 68.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.9%29.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.9%50.1%
Poland Under-17s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13%10.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02%34.98%
Germany Under-17s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49%23.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46%57.54%
Score Analysis
    Poland Under-17s 55.06%
    Germany Under-17s 24.69%
    Draw 20.25%
Poland Under-17sDrawGermany Under-17s
2-1 @ 9.11%
3-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 6.29%
1-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 4.66%
4-1 @ 3.74%
4-2 @ 2.71%
4-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-3 @ 1.31%
5-2 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 2.55%
3-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 20.25%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-1 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-2 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.15%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 24.69%

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