Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (3.63%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
12.46% ( 0.3) | 17.34% ( 0.11) | 70.19% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.54% ( 0.28) | 36.46% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.39% ( 0.31) | 58.6% ( -0.3) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% ( 0.66) | 40.73% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( 0.59) | 77.31% ( -0.58) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.71% ( -0.02) | 9.29% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.63% ( -0.05) | 31.37% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.54% Total : 12.46% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.34% | 0-2 @ 10.68% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 8.46% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 5.03% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 70.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |