MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:46:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Dec 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Benfica

Nacional
A-A
Benfica

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Atletico
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Nacional 0-4 Benfica

While Nacional will be looking to build on last weekend's stalemate with Famalicao, they have their work cut out against a Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we are backing Lage's men to come away with a comfortable victory at the Estadio da Madeira. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (3.63%).

Result
NacionalDrawBenfica
12.46% (0.296 0.3) 17.34% (0.105 0.11) 70.19% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.585 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.54% (0.28299999999999 0.28)36.46% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (0.307 0.31)58.6% (-0.303 -0.3)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (0.658 0.66)40.73% (-0.655 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (0.586 0.59)77.31% (-0.581 -0.58)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)9.29% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.63% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.37% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 12.46%
    Benfica 70.19%
    Draw 17.34%
NacionalDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 3.63% (0.076 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.09% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 12.46%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.34%
0-2 @ 10.68% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 8.46% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 7.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 4.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.065 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
2-5 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
0-6 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.19%

Who will win Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica?

Nacional
Draw
Benfica
Nacional
6.4%
Draw
4.3%
Benfica
89.4%
47
Head to Head
May 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 32
Nacional
1-3
Benfica
Pedrao (8')
Vigario (60')
Pedrao (78' og.), Ramos (81', 86')
Chiquinho (34'), Gilberto (55'), Grimaldo (80')
Jan 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 15
Benfica
1-1
Nacional
Chiquinho (14')
Jardel (71')
Rochez (48')
Pedrao (80'), Micael (90+2')
Feb 10, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Benfica
10-0
Nacional
Grimaldo (1'), Seferovic (21', 27'), Felix (50'), Pizzi (54' pen.), Ferreira (56'), Dias (64'), Jonas (85', 90'), Silva (88')
Samaris (20')
Sep 2, 2018 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
0-4
Benfica

Marakis (34')
Seferovic (28'), Salvio (45'), Grimaldo (76'), Silva (93')
Semedo (49'), Jardel (51'), Cervi (68')
Feb 5, 2017 6pm
Benfica
3-0
Nacional
Jonas (26', 35'), Mitroglou (81')
Jonas (33'), Ederson (59')

Washington (34'), Mezga (43'), Rodrigues (52'), Zequinha (56'), Correia (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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