Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stadion Nairi
Alashkert1 - 0Hamrun Spartans
Yedigaryan (25')
Diaz (40'), Fofana (90+3')
Diaz (40'), Fofana (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Alashkert FC and Hamrun Spartans.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alashkert 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thursday, December 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, December 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alashkert FC in this match.
Result | ||
Alashkert FC | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
37.9% ( -0) | 28.81% ( -0.02) | 33.29% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.23% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.69% ( 0.06) | 61.31% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.77% ( 0.04) | 81.23% ( -0.05) |
Alashkert FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.78% ( 0.03) | 31.22% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.43% ( 0.03) | 67.57% ( -0.03) |
Hamrun Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% ( 0.04) | 34.24% ( -0.04) |