Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anorthosis Famagusta win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anorthosis Famagusta win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anorthosis Famagusta would win this match.