Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Generali Arena
Austria Vienna3 - 5Legia
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Austria Vienna and Legia Warsaw.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salzburg 2-0 Austria Vienna
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Legia
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 13 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
28.89% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( -0.16) | 47.02% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
