Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 1

Jul 30, 2023 at 4pm UK

Generali Arena

Austria Vienna
0 - 3
Sturm Graz

Jukic (87')
da Graca (33')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gazibegovic (9'), Wlodarczyk (38'), Affengruber (60')
Prass (15'), Kiteishvili (71'), Sarkaria (74'), Boving (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria Vienna

All competitions

Last Game: Austria Vienna 1-0 Borac Banja Luka
Thursday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Sturm Graz

All competitions

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Galatasaray
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Austria Vienna	Draw	Sturm Graz
30.42% ( 0.11)	24.72% ( 0.1)	44.86% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.98% (

-0.38)

46.01% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.68% (

-0.36)

68.32% (

0.36)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.6% (

-0.12)

28.4% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.85% (

-0.15)

64.14% (

0.15)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41% (

-0.25)

20.59% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.87% (

-0.4)

53.13% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Austria Vienna 30.42%

Sturm Graz 44.86%

Draw 24.71%

Austria Vienna	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.42%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.71%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.86%